Tuesday, October 27, 2009

State Street Investor Confidence Index - 10:00 am

Full report here Investor Confidence Index Declines from 122.8 to 118.1 in September 29/09/2009 Boston, September 29, 2009 – State Street Global Markets, the investment research and trading arm of State Street Corporation (NYSE:STT), today released the results of the State Street Investor Confidence Index® for September 2009. Global Investor Confidence fell by 4.7 points to 118.1 from a revised August level of 122.8. Regionally, there was some divergence in risk appetite. The confidence of North American institutional investors declined slightly by 4.6 points from 118.3 to 113.7. Elsewhere, however, the tone was more upbeat. European Investor Confidence rose from a revised 109.3 to 110.9, while Asian Investor Confidence increased from a revised 91.9 to 93.1. Developed through State Street Global Markets’ research partnership, State Street Associates, by Harvard University professor Ken Froot and State Street Associates Director Paul O’Connell, the State Street Investor Confidence Index measures investor confidence on a quantitative basis by analyzing the actual buying and selling patterns of institutional investors. The index is based on financial theory that assigns precise meaning to changes in investor risk appetite, or the willingness of investors to allocate their portfolios to equities. The more of their portfolio that institutional investors are willing to devote to equities, the greater their risk appetite or confidence. “After eight consecutive increases in Global Investor Confidence, which took the Index from an all-time low of 82.1 during the financial crisis to a five-year high of 122.8, institutional investors took a breather this month and consolidated their holdings of risky assets,” commented Froot. “This month's reading of 118.1 is still comfortably in the range associated with the accumulation of risk exposures, as a reading of 100 signifies neither accumulation nor decumulation. However, there is a recognition that a portion of the recent rise in global equity prices can be attributed to liquidity expansion rather than fundamental opportunities. Institutional investors are pausing to assess this balance.” “The regional variation that we noted last month has continued into this month,” added O’Connell. “During the financial crisis and the subsequent recovery, European investor risk appetite has lagged that of North American institutions by about three months. This month, the European Confidence Index registered its sixth consecutive monthly increase, but the rate of increase has slowed. As is true of North American investors, European and Asian institutions will be weighing the prospects for long-term improvement in fundamentals against the eventual withdrawal of the ample liquidity currently being provided by policy makers.”

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